When Black Swans Aren't
When Black Swans Aren’t: Geopolitical Risk Management in the Age of “Extreme” Events Thursday, June 22nd, 2017 (11:30 am to 4:30 pm; boxed lunch and reception included) The past year has seen many seemingly unexpected events come to pass, from Brexit to the United States Presidential Election. The upheaval has continued into 2017: the rise of the National Front and Marine Le Pen in the French Election; the growing fractures in long-standing international alliances like NATO, NAFTA, and the European Union; and the wave of autocracy, nationalism, and populist retrenchment in the face of globalization. However, are we witnessing a series of "black swan" events? Could we see any of this coming? What types of models and practices can be used to identify and absorb the myriad financial, strategic, political, and operational risks associated with the current global upheaval and the realities of the twin, competing forces of populism and...